Bret slowly strengthening this morning.
Jul 18, 2011
Tags:"Tropical Storm Bret","Tropical Storm Don","Tropical Storm Don" Tropics Weather Meteorology.,"Tropical Storm Emily",AO,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Season 2011,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Tropical Depression Thirteen,Tropics,Weather,Winter
Bret was located just northwest of Great Abaco Island in the Bahamas at 5am this morning. He is slowly getting his act together with 50 mph max sustained winds. This was found through direct observation by Hurricane Hunter Aircraft. With this said the big question is will it impact the US directly? At this time forecasts keep it just offshore.
The reason it will likely miss the US this time is the position of a ridge of high pressure to its southeast. This feature will steer the system to the north. The storm will then feel the effects of the prevailing westerlies as it moves higher in latitude.
Despite the official forecasts one should still keep an eye on the latest updates as they come. Tropical systems can behave unexpectedly at times.
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Tropical Storm Bret: One For The Fishes
Jul 19, 2011
Tags:"Tropical Storm Bret","Tropical Storm Don","Tropical Storm Don" Tropics Weather Meteorology.,"Tropical Storm Emily",AO,Earthquake,East Pacific,El Nino,Hurricane Irene,Hurricane Season 2011,La Nina,Meteorology,NAO,Tropical Depression Thirteen,Tropics,Weather,Winter
Bret certainly put residents of the Atlantic Seaboard on notice that the hurricane season is alive and well. However in this case most will see it as fortunate that this is a storm for the fishes. The tropical storm is now well east of FL and heading north-northeast. This system is also encountering a more hostile environment in the atmosphere and is weakening as a result.
On a side note if one is interested in seeing a potential textbook Hurricane Dora in the East Pacific is expected to reach major hurricane status (cat 3 or higher) by tomorrow. This system is not expected to impact land so it should make for some great satellite imagery. It will also bring a smile to surfer’s faces from CA through Mexico in the next few days as it generates large swells.